Frostad has three for 151st Queen's Plate

Horseracing Betting Lines

07/01/2010 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Trainer Mark Frostad and Sam-Son Farm go after a second straight victory in Sunday's $1 million Queen's Plate at Woodbine Race Course. The 1 1/4-mile race is the beginning a the Canadian Triple Crown.

Queen Elizabeth II will be in attendance for the 151st Queen's Plate.

Following last year's Queen's Plate win with Eye of the Leopard, trainer and owner have entered three in Canada's premier thoroughbred event. A total of 13 Canadian-bred three-year-olds have been entered.

The three horses that Frostad will saddle are 3-1 favorite Hotep, Dark Cloud Dancer and Giant's Tomb. Trainer and owner won the Plate in 2000 and 2001 with Scatter the Gold and Dancethruthedawn, respectively, as well as last year.

Hotep will be ridden by Patrick Husbands from post 11. Husbands won the Plate aboard Wando in 2003.

"He should be spot on for the race," noted Frostad. "He has a good stalking style and a good kick."

The colt is coming off a second-place finish to Exhi in the Marine Stakes on May 29. Hotep had won the Wando at Woodbine on May 8 in his first local start of the year.

"He gets pretty revved up. He just gets on his toes and uses a lot of energy in his races," said Frostad. "We wanted to give him five weeks into the Plate. We wanted him in good order for the big race."

Earlier this year Hotep raced at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans. He was 10th in the Risen Star Stakes and 11th in the Louisiana Derby. The colt has career earnings of $187,740 with three wins in eight starts.

Dark Cloud Dancer is 15-1 in the morning-line and will be ridden by Javier Castellano from post four. Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith has the mount on Giant's Tomb. The chestnut colt is 12-1 in the program and will leave from post eight. Smith rode Awesome Again to victory in the 1997 Plate.

Other Plate winners for Sam-Son Farm are Regal Intention (1988) and Dance Smartly (1991). Frostad also saddled Victor Cooley to win the race in 1996.

Here is the complete field for the Queen's Plate in position order: Vicar Street, Tyler Pizarro, 30-1; Who We Gunna Call, Gerry Olguin, 30-1: D's Wando, Emma-Jayne Wilson, 20-1; Dark Cloud Dancer, Javier Castellano, 15-1; Big Red Mike, Eurico Rosa da Silva, 6-1; Smart Sky, Chantal Sutherland, 30-1; Ghost Fleet, Richard Dos Ramos, 20-1; Giant's Tomb, Mike Smith, 12-1; Mobilizer, Jono Jones, 7-2; Roan Inish, Davy Moran, 9-2; Hotep, Patrick Husbands, 3-1; Mobthewarrior, Emile Ramsammy, 10-1 and Moment of Majesty, Robert Landry, 12-1.

The two fillies, Roan Inish and Moment of Majesty, will each carry 121 pounds while the 11 males will tote 126 pounds each. The winner will earn $600,000.

Post-time for the Queen's Plate is slated for 5:40 p.m. (et).

The Triple Crown will continue with the Prince of Wales Stakes on Sunday, July 25 at Fort Erie Racetrack and the Breeders' Stakes on Sunday, August 15 back at Woodbine.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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